Q3 sees Japan economy shrinking much more than anticipated

Japan’s economy experienced its most significant annualized quarterly decline in two years, with provisional government data indicating a 2.1% drop in the third quarter compared to a year ago. This sharp downturn was driven by rising domestic inflation and declining consumer demand, as well as export challenges due to waning demand.

The latest economic contraction, the first in four quarters, reflects the ongoing instability caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. This pattern of alternating growth and contraction presents significant policy challenges for Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.

The weaker-than-expected GDP figures were influenced by a decline in domestic capital expenditure and a flat private consumption. Analysts predict that consumer spending may come to a standstill next year due to falling household incomes.

The Japanese economy’s fragility highlights the complexities faced by the central bank as it evaluates its ultra-easy monetary policy. Additionally, the Japanese government plans to implement a 13.2 trillion yen ($87 billion) economic package aimed at mitigating rising living costs through subsidies and payouts to low-income households.

The Japanese yen slightly strengthened against the U.S. dollar, but the overall economic outlook remains challenging. This underscores the pressing need for policymakers to address the numerous headwinds facing Japan’s economy.